Saturday, January 08, 2005

Matt Cain Report

Matt Cain, RHP, San Francisco Giants
Drafted 25th Overall, 2002 Draft, Germantown, TN
Bats R/Throws R
20 YO, 6'3", 180 lbs

So do you think that Brian Sabean is glad he waited until 2003 to start intentionally punting first round picks to save money? Cain is as good a prospect as Merkin Valdez, with a mid 90's fastball and a sick curve. He started 2005 in San Jose, where he was Pedro-esque, sporting a 1.86 ERA, 89 K's, 17 walks, 58 hits, and 5 home runs allowed in 72 2/3 innings. Then he moved up to AA, and pitched very well as a 19 year old in the Eastern League with a 3.35 ERA. His walk rate doubled, as he allowed 40 free passes. But he struck out 72, allowed 73 hits, and 7 home runs in 86 innings.

All of the indicators look good. I'd like to see him add a true changeup that he can throw off of his fastball, and while the extra walks didn't hurt him that much in Norwich, I'd like to see him tighten that up, whether it was caused by more advanced hitters just being more selective or by him overthrowing.

ETA: Early 2006
4 1/2 Stars

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