Thursday, March 03, 2005

Garrett Atkins Report

Garrett Atkins, 3B, Colorado Rockies
Drafted 137th Overall (5th Rd), 2000 Draft, UC-Irvine
Bats R/Throws R
25 YO, 6'3", 210 lbs

Here's another review 'em now, while you still can kind of prospect report. Atkins has probably 2 seasons to win himself a job somewhere else. If he impresses people with his bat, he could move to an outfield corner in Colorado when Ian Stewart is ready, or he could go find work as somebody's ill-advised big investment of a third baseman.

2004 Colorado Springs: .366/.434/.578, 43 2B, 3 3B, 15 HR, 57 BB, 45 K, 445 AB
2004 Colorado: .357/.424/.536, 2 2B, 0 3B, 1 HR, 4 BB, 3 K, 28 AB
mL Career: .317/.395/.475, 155 2B, 12 3B, 52 HR, 280 BB, 320 K, 2110 AB
ML Career: .216/.274/.289, 4 2B, 0 3B, 1 HR, 7 BB, 17 K, 97 AB

His minor league numbers are propped up by the almost 900 at bats that he's accumulated with the Sky Sox. He's a reasonable hitter, but he's not THAT good. As Vinny Castilla and Dante Bichette have shown us in the past, average major league hitters become world class major league hitters when they play half their games at a mile above sea level. That's great news for your fantasy baseball team, but bad news for whatever wayward general manager gets stuck with the contract that Atkins signs after leaving Denver.

Defensively, Atkins is nobody's idea of a third baseman. He has about as much of a chance at ending his career as a full time third baseman as I do, and I never had a baseball career to begin with. They stuck me out in right field when I played slow pitch soft ball. Atkins will be either a left fielder, a designated hitter, or a first baseman. Which one of the three options hinges on what team he ends up with. But that's years away. For now, he has no serious challengers for the starting third base job. He'll put up good numbers, though he won't hit a lot of home runs. Expect 35+ doubles, about 15 to 20 home runs, a healthy walk rate, and a .300+ average.

ETA: Opening Day
3 1/2 Stars

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