Sunday, March 13, 2005

Stefan Bailie Report

Stefan Bailie, 1B, Boston Red Sox
Drafted 123rd Overall (4th Rd), 2001 Draft, Washington State
Bats R/Throws R
24 YO, 6'0", 215 lbs

Bailie is a mediocre prospect who had a big breakthrough in 2004. Part of that was probably him shaking the injury bug. Part of it was real development.

2004 Sarasota: .306/.383/.568, 23 2B, 11 HR, 20 BB, 40 K, 222 AB
2004 Portland: .309/.364/.590, 15 2B, 8 HR, 10 BB, 34 K, 139 AB
mL Career: .276/.332/.448, 65 2B, 27 HR, 69 BB, 204 K, 906 AB

I don't like that plate discipline much at all, and I'm pretty sure that the Red Sox brass isn't wild about it either. The fact that he was successful when he jumped from HiA to AA is nice, but he was even old for that level at the time, so I'm suspicious of his long term prognosis. The isolates slugging percentage is pretty sweet though, and the Florida State League is still a big drag on hitting statistics. For now, we will wait and see what happens in 2005. Even if he does keep putting up numbers, he still is in a system that isn't likely to give him many chances since the Red Sox are not lacking options on the weak side of the defensive spectrum.

ETA: mid 2006
2 1/2 Stars

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